| Overall | 18W 3L 1T |
| District | 10W 0L 0T |
| Expected | 20: 1+ 1- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
17 3 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1262 2 Strength Momentum |
867 58.9(13) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | Capital !! | 0.000 | 1074 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1676 | 72% |  |
| 08/27/15 | at Belen | 0.000 | 975 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1180 | 77% | |
| 09/01/15 | Hope Christian ? | 0.001 | 1392 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-3) | 1114 | 37% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.002 | 1273 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1329 | 46% | |
| 09/15/15 | St. Pius ?? | 0.011 | 1289 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1214 | 49% | |
| 09/18/15 | Santa Fe Indian | 0.003 | 762 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1520 | 93% | |
| 09/21/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.011 | 752 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1323 | 91% | |
| 09/23/15 | at Taos | 0.020 | 816 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1303 | 88% | |
| 09/25/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.010 | 612 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1359 | 96% | |
| 09/28/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.041 | 722 | W 6- 0 | Expected (0) | 1284 | 94% | |
| 09/30/15 | Santa Fe ! | 0.053 | 984 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1416 | 80% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Santa Fe Indian | 0.020 | 762 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1433 | 91% | |
| 10/05/15 | ATC | 0.023 | 442 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1360 | 98% | |
| 10/07/15 | Desert Academy | 0.028 | 612 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1445 | 97% | |
| 10/13/15 | at ATC | 0.027 | 442 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1383 | 98% | |
| 10/14/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.052 | 752 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1515 | 93% | |
| 10/22/15 | Los Alamos | 0.663 | 1278 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 1258 | 51% | |
| 10/23/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.252 | 722 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1308 | 92% | |
| 10/24/15 | Bosque | 0.733 | 1185 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1262 | 62% | |
| 11/05/15 | * Bloomfield | 0.872 | 918 | W 5- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1229 | 84% | |
| 11/06/15 | * Socorro | 0.995 | 1158 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1249 | 62% | |
| 11/07/15 | * Hope Christian | 0.997 | 1392 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1289 | 35% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals St. Michael's actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 867, while
St. Michael's's "weighted playing strength" is 1269
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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